It’s hard to believe that Autumn is already here! The first day of the season was scorching hot in Sydney with 36 degrees, a massive 11 degrees above the March average. The heat was accompanied by wild storms and wind gusts up to 100kmh. On the other extreme, Melbourne reached a cool 21 degrees with evening rain.

Summer 2014-15 was our 5th warmest on record with both minimum and maximum temperatures well above average for the season. For maximum temperatures alone, it was the 4th warmest summer! On the whole, rainfall was 7% above the long term mean.

So what’s in store for Autumn? Days are expected to be hotter than average over most of northern Australia, southern and western WA, and all of southeast Australia. Apart from Brisbane and Darwin, every other capital is likely to see warmer than average day-time temperatures. Autumn nights are likely to be warmer than normal across the entire country, except for southeast QLD and the Top End.

The odds are in favour of a wetter than normal Autumn for the northern part of the Top End, northwest NSW, central WA and the Red Centre. Everywhere else, the chance of a wetter or drier drier than average season are 50/50. This is mainly due to the fact that there aren’t any significant climate influences at the moment pushing the climate towards either drier or wetter weather.

The reason why I’m using words such as “odds”, likely” and “chance” is that these seasonal forecasts are based on probability. It’s impossible to provide specifics on actual temperatures and rainfall totals in long-term forecasts due to the chaotic nature of the climate.

What I’m wearing…Autumn is a transitional season so you can get a mixture of hot and cool days- that’s why layering is best. I love felt hats, crochet, long knitted cardigans, flat leather boots, cotton dresses, leather jackets and sandals. My crochet poncho is from my sister’s amazing fair trade, hand made knitwear label First Born.